global warming

if there is something about which the world has been certain (at least certain far left precincts of the world), it is that global warming is occurring and that it is man caused. the proposed remedy has been to wreck our economies and teach people to be satisfied with a lesser standard of living.

what if either of these things isn’t true? what if the earth isn’t warming as rapidly as feared by Al Gore? What if what warming that is occurring is natural and not anthropogenic? Then the left’s environmental club against capitalism would be rather less fierce wouldn’t it?

check this out:

Forecasts of climate change are about to go seriously out of kilter. One of the world’s top climate modellers said Thursday we could be about to enter one or even two decades during which temperatures cool.

“People will say this is global warming disappearing,” he told more than 1500 of the world’s top climate scientists gathering in Geneva at the UN’s World Climate Conference.

“I am not one of the sceptics,” insisted Mojib Latif of the Leibniz Institute of Marine Sciences at Kiel University, Germany. “However, we have to ask the nasty questions ourselves or other people will do it.”

Few climate scientists go as far as Latif, an author for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. But more and more agree that the short-term prognosis for climate change is much less certain than once thought.

but, never fear, they still know what is going to happen long term. it is just the short term that trips them up. trust them.

But some of the climate scientists gathered in Geneva to discuss how this might be done admitted that, on such timescales, natural variability is at least as important as the long-term climate changes from global warming. “In many ways we know more about what will happen in the 2050s than next year,” saidVicky Pope from the UK Met Office

is the warming man-caused? or natural? some of each? how much?

truthful answer is idk. but neither do the people studying it.

Latif predicted that in the next few years a natural cooling trend would dominate over warming caused by humans. The cooling would be down to cyclical changes to ocean currents and temperatures in the North Atlantic, a feature known as the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO).

Breaking with climate-change orthodoxy, he said NAO cycles were probably responsible for some of the strong global warming seen in the past three decades. “But how much? The jury is still out,” he told the conference. The NAO is now moving into a colder phase.

and the models that they use to predict such things are unreliable because of built in biases in the programming.

In candid mood, climate scientists avoided blaming nature for their faltering predictions, however. “Model biases are also still a serious problem. We have a long way to go to get them right. They are hurting our forecasts,” said Tim Stockdale of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts in Reading, UK.

The world may badly want reliable forecasts of future climate. But such predictions are proving as elusive as the perfect weather forecast.

almost sounds exactly like what another fellow used to say who was much maligned for saying it.

any time our self appointed guardians start preaching to us about our lifestyle wrecking the planet, remember that meteorologists can’t even get close to an accurate seven day forecast. Heck, they can’t even get today right this morning.

Nature is shown daily to trump their forecasting models on the short term.

Now climatologists are being forced to agree that the models have missed their medium term prediction.

But never fear, they know they have the long term correctly predicted and we must take drastic action now to save the planet.

trust them. don’t ask questions. just trust them and pay your cap and trade taxes cheerfully.

HT to Kevin


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